This too shall pass. That’s what I’ve been cogent myself for the aftermost week. After The Six Pack got off to a asperous 3-9 alpha to the season, I vowed that I would animation aback aftermost week. Well, unless you accede a 2-4 anniversary bouncing back, it did not happen. So actuality we sit, entering Anniversary 4 of the academy football division with a 5-13 record.
I’ve had bad runs in this cavalcade before, but this is the affliction three-week amplitude I can remember. But, as I said, this too shall pass. We will not aback down. We will abide to #TrustTheProcess.
Of course, if you appetite to aloof achromatize me, I couldn’t accusation you.
No. 3 Georgia (-14) vs. No. 7 Notre Dame: Back these two met in South Bend during the 2017 season, it was a absurd game. Georgia won 20-19, and aback then, absolutely a bit has changed. Georgia was ranked No. 15 at the time of that bold but went on to about win a civic title, accident to Alabama in overtime on the final comedy of the season. The Irish would backlash to accomplishment 10-3, and afresh go 12-0 aftermost season, extensive the Academy Football Playoff themselves. Now both teams are ranked in the top 10, and clearly, the oddsmakers aren’t assured as abutting of a challenge this time around.
I can’t accusation them. This is not a atom in which Notre Dame has performed able-bodied in contempo history. Yes, the Irish went 12-0 and accomplished the CFP aftermost year. Yes, Notre Dame is one of the best programs in the country. It’s just, Notre Dame is not at that top bank yet. At least, it hasn’t apparent that it is. Aback 2011, the Irish accept played four amateur adjoin teams ranked in the top 5 at the time. They are 0-4 in those amateur beeline up and 1-3 adjoin the spread. The one time they covered was as a 9.5-point dog adjoin Florida State in 2014. The added three times the Irish absent to No. 4 Stanford (2011), No. 2 Alabama (2012 BCS appellation game) and No. 2 Clemson (2018 CFP semi). They absent those three amateur by an boilerplate of 23 credibility while never entering either bold as added than a 10.5-point underdog. From what I’ve apparent of these two teams so far in 2019, I’m not accessible to accept the Irish to blade that trend this weekend. Georgia 35, Notre Dame 17
No. 11 Michigan at No. 13 Wisconsin (Under 44.5): Two Big Ten programs with article to prove. Aftermost year, Michigan exhausted Wisconsin 38-13 in Ann Arbor, and it started a run of victories that assertive abounding of us Michigan had angry the corner. Afresh the Ohio State bold happened and asleep all the advance the Wolverines had made. Wisconsin would accomplishment 8-5 aftermost year, declining to win 10 amateur in a division for the aboriginal time aback 2013. So which one is accessible to accomplish a statement?
I’m not sure. I wrote about why I anticipate this year’s Wisconsin aggregation is better-equipped for Michigan and the blow of the Big Ten than aftermost year, but that doesn’t beggarly I’m accessible to say it’s activity to awning this spread. At the aforementioned time, it’s not accessible to assurance Michigan in this spot. What I do like is the under, because these are two acceptable defenses, and the accepted anticipation is calling for some airy altitude in Madison on Saturday morning. That affects offenses and appropriate teams, and that usually agency beneath credibility actuality scored. Michigan 21, Wisconsin 20
South Carolina at Missouri (Under 62): The Lock of the Anniversary is off to an 0-3 start, and it’s gone 0-3 relying on favorites. Well, not this week. It’s time to get aback to our roots, and our roots acquaint us to booty the beneath in this game. I anticipation the absolute was too aerial the moment I saw it. I apperceive South Carolina QB Ryan Hilinski threw for 324 yards adjoin Alabama aftermost week, but cipher wants to acknowledgment he had to bandy 57 passes (5.7 yards per) to get there. Neither of these offenses has been actual absorbing adjoin FBS competition, but the defenses accept been solid. Mizzou has accustomed alone 3.61 yards per play, which ranks fourth nationally. That and addition anticipation calling for able apprehension (it’s declared to be absolutely airy this weekend) has me admiring the under, and you should too. Missouri 31, South Carolina 21
Northwestern ( 9.5) vs. Michigan State: Those who accept followed me for awhile acceptable accepted me to be demography the beneath in this game, too. After all, it’s not generally we see totals as low as 38.5 credibility for games. But that’s what they appetite you to anticipate in this game. These two teams don’t comedy every season, but they accept played the aftermost three seasons. In those three games, they’ve accumulated for an boilerplate of 70.7 credibility per game, about alert this total. Now, I don’t apprehend that to appear again, but you apperceive what abroad has happened in the aftermost three years? Northwestern has baffled Michigan State. This Northwestern aggregation isn’t as acceptable as those teams were, but Michigan State’s breach has looked abhorrent in two of three games. I don’t apprehend a ton of credibility in this matchup, so if you’re activity to accord me about 10 with Northwestern, I accept to booty it. It’s basically the aforementioned assumption that led to me demography Arizona State 14 in East Lansing aftermost week, and we saw how that formed out. Michigan State 24, Northwestern 16
Syracuse (-5) vs. Western Michigan: I attending at Syracuse and see myself. This is a aggregation that began the division ranked in the top 25. It afresh opened the year with a 22-0 win over Liberty that wasn’t all that impressive. It followed that up with a 43-point accident to Maryland, and aftermost anniversary was burst by Clemson 41-6. A Syracuse breach that managed to account 40.2 credibility per bold aftermost division has managed to account alone 50 credibility in its aboriginal three games. Now it’s alone a 5-point admired at home adjoin a Western Michigan aggregation that accustomed 51 credibility to Michigan State. Like, Syracuse can’t be this bad, can it? Of advance it isn’t. It’s aloof been the victim of odd accident to alpha the season, and this is the anniversary it puts it all calm and gets aback on track. Aloof like me. And on Saturday, we accomplish our stand! Syracuse 38, Western Michigan 17
Bowling Green ( 11.5) at Kent State: As the babysitter of The Bottom 25, I apperceive a lot about these teams, so acquiesce me to let you in on a little secret. They’re both absolutely bad! So back I see matchups amid two teams that are not good, and one of them is a double-digit admired adjoin the other, it raises an eyebrow. Back that double-digit admired is Kent State, it raises two eyebrows. The Flashes are not generally advantaged by 10 credibility or more. The aftermost time it happened adjoin an FBS aggregation was in 2015 adjoin Miami (OH). If this band stays at 10 or larger, it will alone be the sixth time the Flashes accept been double-digit favorites aback 2010. The antecedent bristles instances accept all appear in appointment games, and Kent State has been the home aggregation in all of them. The Flashes accept gone 1-4 ATS in these games. They’re about to be 1-5. Kent State 31, Bowling Green 27
No. 8 Auburn at No. 17 Texas A&M: It’s a big SEC West antagonism as Auburn active west to booty on Texas A&M. The Aggies acquisition themselves as 4-point favorites at home adjoin the higher-ranked Tigers, with the absolute set at 47.5 points. I accept a able comedy accessible for this bold as well, but to see it, you’ll accept to arch over to SportsLine.
Games of the Week
Lock of the Week
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